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Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?

 
[Free Tour]     04 Jan 2019
With regard to the issue of whether the rainy season is suitable for Cairns and the Great Barrier Reef (Great Barrier Reef) during the Spring Festival, the discussion in the forum is full of smoke, search for previous posts, some say there will be rainstorms every day, and some say it is a good season. I've been living in Keynes for almost a year, and even though the cruise ship cancellations I've...

With regard to the issue of whether the rainy season is suitable for Cairns and the Great Barrier Reef (Great Barrier Reef) during the Spring Festival, the discussion in the forum is full of smoke, search for previous posts, some say there will be rainstorms every day, and some say it is a good season. I've been living in Keynes for almost a year, and even though the cruise ship cancellations I've seen this year have only a small chance of canceling, there may be no subjective say in the subject to a certain extent. Because some people may have been here for several years for reasons of work. I also welcome these people to continue to provide their own experience for your reference.


Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?

Keynes (John Maynard, 1883-1946, 一译“凯因斯”, 英国资产阶级经济学家)


Official website citation 

I don't want to debate anything, because someone may have been a week away from Keynes, through the storm and the sun. Weather this kind of thing who catch up with anything I can not be the master, so this post I only use quoted text and weather data.

First of all, let's take a look at a few websites. I do not translate sentence by sentence, welcome to read the original, I try to avoid out of context, so both good and bad can say two words.


The first is the Keynesian weather mentioned in the official Australian Travel website:

"Summer (December-February) is the rainy season in Keynes, the best season for rainforest trips, such as the Daintree, Curanda Cable car and the Tali River drifting, and for diving on the Great Barrier Reef, despite the rainy season, the wind is calm. Underwater visibility sometimes exceeds 50 meters, and sea water temperatures range from 22 degrees in winter to 29 degrees in summer. "

"October to December the air will be very dull, this is the rainy season before the onset of thunderstorms. Typhoons usually occur from November to May. "

http://www.australia.com/about/key-facts/weather/cairns-weather.aspx


Take a look at the Keynesian Information Network's description of the rainy season:

"fortunately, most of the rain happens at night, so there is a lot of good weather at this time. December is actually a perfect season for snorkeling and diving. It doesn't mean it won't be sunny on the Great Barrier Reef because it rains inside of Keynesian City."

"if the wind is low, there will be good underwater visibility."

"if you come to Keynes as a low-pressure cyclone approaches the coast, the rain will be brutal, the sun will disappear for a few days, and you may need to reschedule your Great Barrier Reef."

http://www.cairnsinfo.com/region_guide/index.php?RegionInfoID=322&RegionSubjectID=40


And this "Keynes 20 itinerary" page:

"dry season, April to August, with an average wind of 15 to 20 knots."

"it usually rains in Keynesian City and the Great Barrier Reef will be sunny because the clouds are piled up in the mountains behind Keynes."

"there are many factors that affect underwater visibility, but the vast majority are affected by wind."

"because of the mountain impact behind Keynes, Typhoons rarely visited Keynes, and the last typhoon landed directly in Keynes in 1927. Of course, typhoons can affect Keynes hundreds of kilometers away, and typhoons that landed in Innisfail in 2006 and 2011 brought strong winds and floods to Keynes. "

http://www.cairns-top20tours.com.au/cairns-weather/


We may think that these are all tourism promotion network stations, of course, to listen to the good, or who will come? Then I'll start talking with the data.


decision based on datas 

Http://www.bom.gov.au/ is the website of the Australian goverment Meteorological Service and is arguably the most comprehensive and authoritative source of data. I'll post a post on Keynes looking at the classification and selection of the Great Barrier Reef cruise ships in order to make it easier for you to decide when to go to sea in a short time.


Here I visit the Australian Local Climate Statistics page, select the location of the "Keynesian" cycle, select the most recent "1981 / 2010" and come up with the following table.

Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?

The original web site of the form is as follows:

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/cvg/av?p_stn_num=031011&p_prim_element_index=0&p_comp_element_index=0&redraw=null&p_display_type=statistics_summary&normals_years=1981-2010&tablesizebutt=normal


We picked up some important data to compare the seasons. December-March is still the rainy season.

In the first column, Temperature doesn't say much, the two lines of data are the average maximum temperature and the average minimum temperature, who both know the opposite of the Northern and Southern Hemisphere seasons, but Keynes is warm even in the Southern Hemisphere winter.

The second column of rainfall Rainfall, climax, the average rainfall Mean rainfall (mm) in January-March more than 300mm, February was nearly 450mm, and in the dry season in June-October, rainfall less than 50mm, almost different. If you see this, you can stop looking down. Okay, Keynes, you can give up.

Let's move on to the next column of other daily elements, Other daily elements.. The first row, the average number of hours of sunshine a day, Mean daily sunshine (hours) (, this data records "bright" sunlight, sunrise and evening and cloudy weather are not called bright sunlight, in other words, the time when the sun shines). You will find that the time of the year is very small, and the wettest and driest months are only more than two hours apart. I think this testifies to the notion that the vast majority of rainfall is at night. The following two lines are the average clear days and the average number of cloudy days, here is another significant difference between the dry season and the rainy season, which is much more sunny than the rainy season (a little nonsense).


The last two columns are instantaneous data at 9: 00 a.m. and 3: 00 p.m., and 9 am conditions and 3 pm conditions, where the average wind speed Mean wind speed (km/h is highlighted). The second climax came, and it was not found that this figure was contrary to the "common sense" of many, that the wind was actually smaller in the rainy season and stronger in the dry season at any time.

Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?
Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?

 

There is also a weather station on Green Island (Green Island), which is often visited by Chinese people, and although the records are not rich, it can be seen that the wind is smaller in the rainy season and stronger in the dry season. The values here are more persuasive to those who go to sea.

We already know that the size of the waves and the visibility in the water are mainly dependent on the size of the wind and not much to do with the rainfall, which first proves that "the monsoon is calm and underwater visibility is better", and in addition, from what I have seen here, The Great Barrier Reef in the dry season also has time to cancel due to strong winds. And if you look at the websites of the Great Barrier Reef cruise ship companies, you'll find on the FAQ page that rain doesn't cause the trip to be cancelled.

So why is it that there are people trapped here who can't do anything? There is only one answer: a low-pressure cyclone (the state of a typhoon at sea). This is something that only happens during the rainy season. Once a low-pressure cyclone approaches (note that even a hundred or two kilometers away is called approaching in meteorology), the sea will not calm down. At this time, the wind and waves will be heavy and the sea water will be muddy. Many cruise ships cancel their journeys, but usually they do not affect Keynes' other activities. If a low-pressure cyclone develops into a typhoon landing, traffic and flights will be blocked and personnel may be trapped.

Using meteorological data: is it possible to visit Keynes during the rainy season to see the Great Barrier Reef?


Data also from the Australian Meteorological Service's website (http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/about/eastern.shtml) shows that an average of 4.7 typhoons a year affects the area under the responsibility of the Queensland Tropical Storm warning Center. But typhoons that do damage Keynes will only happen once in a few years. But if you catch any low-pressure cyclone coming during the Spring Festival, because Chinese guests are concentrated here, the chances of tragedy will be magnified.

http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/about/eastern.shtml


As far as I know, almost all cruise companies can reschedule or refund free of charge after canceling their itinerary because of the weather, but for a tourist, the time is not coming back. And it's not easy for most people to come this far, but it's a pity to miss the Great Barrier Reef. That's why, when I answer questions, I never say not to come to Keynes in the rainy season, but if I do, leave a little more time. If we do encounter extreme weather, there is a period of adjustment on the itinerary, and Keynes is not the only one on the Great Barrier Reef. I have also written this post. Rainforests, waterfalls, white water drifting during the rainy season are all more spectacular and fun. But if you have a tight schedule and come only for the Great Barrier Reef, I suggest you consider it carefully in case of bad luck in case a typhoon destroys the hard-won holidays.


(分析研究经验做出结论) sum up 

If you do not have holiday and time restrictions, I would of course recommend going north in winter (Australian season, same below) and heading south in summer because Melbourne and Oceanic Road suffer more in winter. The Great Barrier Reef does not have the risk of typhoons in winter, but friends who must rush out of Spring Festival are not easy to ask for other time off.

So Keynes has some risks in the rainy season, but it's not for nothing. It's up to us to decide whether or not to come.


Author: Kansi Wolf er@qye

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Anonymous
写的真好 有理有力有节 :) 请问有什么方法联系你吗 有些澳洲旅行的问题想请教
27 Jun 2019 10:44 am