Australia`s large ageing population means that the new crown death rate may be higher. (ABC Photo)
Australia must be prepared for a new crown with a higher mortality rate than China, a biosafety expert said.
As of tuesday morning, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of the new state`s crown soared to 55. Young people are not among the most at-risk groups, although there are successive cases of students infected with the virus.
Australia`s relatively large ageing population means the new crown virus will have a higher mortality rate in australia than in china, warns Raina MacIntyre, australia`s top biosafety expert.
In China, the population over the age of 65 accounts for about 9% of the country`s population, but Australia`s share is about 16%.
In the past two weeks, the mortality of the new crown virus has ranged from 1.4 to 3.4 per cent worldwide. But the data are still volatile, and the exact death rate will have to wait until the outbreak is calm.
Professor McGinty called on government to extend travel restrictions and controls as long as possible, noting that "the epidemic is growing exponentially in days and weeks, not years... Time is crucial "," If it is out of control, we will see things getting worse every week and it is time to act. "
It is expected that 850,000 people will and unnecessary new crown risk at the Royal Sydney Agricultural Fai
Cases of local transmission in Australia are on the rise, and Professor McGinty says Australia may have entered a continuous period of community transmission.
He pointed out that schools and colleges, sports and recreation could become "intensive transmission" sites, and that the upcoming Sydney Easter Royal Agricultural Exhibition (The Royal Easter Show) was a dangerous risk in her eyes.
Sydney`s Easter Royal Farm Fair attracts an average of 850,000 people a year. "An event like an agricultural exhibition that attracts thousands of people is much more difficult to control, it only reverses our situation and causes unnecessary infections and may even lead to death ."," McGinty said
But mr mcintyre also acknowledges that the travel ban can not last forever and that australia may need to choose between economic stability and public health.
Once the travel ban is inevitably lifted, australia must be prepared for a surge in cases and a huge impact on the health-care system.
Although there is still a glimmer of hope that australia will control the spread of the new crown virus, mcintyre believes it is also fading, because "there is close contact with 9 to 10 people a day ," and if we have 50 cases, that means 500 people need to be tracked and prosecuted... When the number of people (diagnosed) reaches 500 to 1000,(tracking and prosecution) becomes impossible. "
McGinty, however, also praised the efforts of the New State Department of Health to quickly identify and isolate confirmed cases, track contacts and take isolation measures to prevent and slow the spread of the new crown virus.
