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The peak is likely to last until next year, when a major outbreak in Europe

2019-nCoV Special
Source: enanyang.my
[International News]     26 Sep 2020
Since autumn, European countries have been outbreak of the second wave 2019 coronary virus disease, experts warned that with winter, the number of death may be more serious than the first wave. The second wave of outbreaks in Europe will take place between July 2020 and January 2021, according to a mathematical study published Wednesday in the journal Science Reports, a natural-research firm.
The peak is likely to last until next year, when a major outbreak in Europe

A man was tested for crown disease Thursday after a serious rebound in Marseille, France.

Since autumn, European countries have been outbreak of the second wave 2019 coronary virus disease, experts warned that with winter, the number of death may be more serious than the first wave.

The second wave of outbreaks in Europe will take place between July 2020 and January 2021, according to a mathematical study published Wednesday in the journal Science Reports, a natural-research firm.

In the latest study, scientists at the Institute of Nuclear Physics in Lyon, France, and the University of South Denmark used data from the first wave of outbreaks and considered changes in infection rates of 15 percent.

They simulated the height of the peak of the second wave depending on the infection rate, and countries with higher infection rates are expected to peak earlier.


New embargo policies announced by States

Europe's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC) reported that as of 22, the number of confirmed cases in Europe has reached 2.9 million, France, Spain recently more than 10,000 new confirmed cases a day.

A number of European countries have announced new blockade policies or delayed economic restart in order to prevent the outbreak from getting out of control again.

There are now 10 countries in Europe that are beginning to see a second wave in early August: Belgium, Bosnia, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Greece, the Netherlands, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia and Spain.

Therefore, the team simulated the time dynamics of the second wave in all countries in Europe and produced simulated videos showing the possible time of the peak of the second wave in each country.

The results show that the peak may occur between July 2020 and January 2021, but the specific time of each country may be controlled by border control, physical isolation and local hot spot control measures.


Accelerated death increase

According to the daily death data of recent outbreaks in European countries, although the number of death in many countries is now much lower than the previous peak of the first wave of outbreaks, there is a trend of accelerating rise.

"Obviously, we don't really have any effective way to stop the spread virus crown disease, except for the blockade and some social distance measures, and we have n' t vaccine ." yet ," said Michael Hade, senior global health researcher at the University of Southampton in the UK

France's crown disease epidemic is still rebounding 24, the day's new confirmed cases exceeded 16000 cases, brush a new high.

The cumulative confirmed cases were close to 500000 cases on the same day ,497237 cases ,301511 cases of cumulative death cases and 52 new death cases.

The city of Marseille, a major city in southern France that has been classified as the "strongest warning zone" for the outbreak, must close restaurants and bars from the 26th.

French defence minister vieran 24 pointed out the necessity and urgency of the implementation of new preventive measures.

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