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Hardest to predict: Trump voter returns

Source: newsin.us
[全球新闻]     14 Sep 2020
The U.S. presidential election was 53 days from the bottom, and the approval rating of the presidential Trump was once behind, but several recent reports on the "electoral college" have pointed out that the overall election situation is gradually moving closer to the Trump, the chances of multiple swing states supporting the Republican party have increased, and the Democratic presidential candidat...
Hardest to predict: Trump voter returns

 

The U.S. presidential election was 53 days from the bottom, and the approval rating of the presidential Trump was once behind, but several recent reports on the "electoral college" have pointed out that the overall election situation is gradually moving closer to the Trump, the chances of multiple swing states supporting the Republican party have increased, and the Democratic presidential candidate Biden's electoral college advantage has narrowed to 279 votes to 187.

According to the latest analysis in the cook political report (Cook Political Report), a well-known american nonpartisan political analysis, florida's political tendencies have shifted from pro-democracy to ambiguous, and nevada from pro-democracy to pro-democracy, which together account for 35 electoral votes.

Analyst Walter (Amy Walter) points out that, This shift has reduced Biden's electoral margin, From 308 to 187 a few months ago, Reduced to 279 votes to 187. The latest poll, published on the 9th by economics and YouGov, Trump support is 42%, Still slightly below Biden's 49 percent.

A prediction model for the economics showed in early June, Trump's re-election chances are 1/5, Even in July, the impact of the national demonstration parade and epidemic fell to 1/10, but the latest data in September show that, Trump has returned a lot of support, The odds are up to 1/7, Biden's support gap narrowed to 8 percent.

"Not that Trump won't win, he's absolutely likely, but he's still clearly at a disadvantage right now ," CNN said. "

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