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Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

 
[Economic News]     17 Dec 2018
Guide: immigrant: we don`t carry this pot!After Morrison came to power this year, there was a "cut in immigration" across the country.

Guide: immigrant: we don`t carry this pot!

After Morrison came to power this year, there was a "cut in immigration" across the country.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Shouting enough to let everyone know that there are too many immigrants to reduce.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Then the state governors responded, and the new governor even offered to "drive" foreign students to the country.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

To be sure, Australia, one of the fastest-growing countries in the world, grew 1.7 percent between 2016 and 2017.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Between 2016 and 2017, the net number of overseas immigrants stood at 262000, one of the highest levels in history.

These seem to be the reasons for the current downsizing of migrants.

But as they call for fewer immigrants, Labour says it wants to increase refugee?!

It even promised that, as long as Labour came to power, it would allocate more than 5 million dollars a year to receive an additional 4000 refugee.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

What kind of brain circuit is this? are you more or less emigrated?

What makes a decent immigrant who contributes to Australia`s economy what you call a "burden"? A recent study crazily diss cut immigration policy, shouting to Australia`s government, this pot of immigrants do not bear!

A recent Australian study pointed out that cutting immigration would do nothing to help Australian society.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Immigrants are not as much as you think

In recent years, Australia`s immigration program has not reached a very exaggerated level. Immigration growth in Australia, including humanitarian operations, is actually only a little more than in 2011-12.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

In 2017-18, although the estimated immigrant population was more than two hundred thousand, the actual number of immigrants was 179000, mainly including a large number of Syrian and Iraqi refugee.

The combined number of skilled and family migrants is not even as high as 28,000. The cause of this situation is unclear.

Net emigration is also one of the reasons for the digital illusion.

Net emigration includes the government program, but also includes other population activities in Australia.

For example, citizen New Zealand has unrestricted access to Australia, and international students and many others can enter Australia on temporary visas. Permanent and temporary Australian residents can leave without restriction.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

The "net effect" of all these activities can affect Australia`s "net emigration" record, but this does not represent Australia`s immigration program.

For example, if Australia`s economy recovers and fewer Australians, leave, seek better prospects at home, there will be more "net overseas migration" even without immigration.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Since the Australian Bureau of Statistics change`s definition of "resident" in mid-2006, the two populations have been increasingly differentiated, making temporary residents more likely to be counted in demographics. And their activities will also take into account net emigration.

The number of international students studying in Australia has increased every year over the past five years, but the number of international students leaving school has been small.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Inevitably, the departure of students will increase in the next few years, and this will lead to another sharp decline in the number of net overseas immigrants.

As a result, the net emigration figure of 262000 is not very accurate, and the basic level of net overseas migration is more likely to remain around two hundred thousand. The basic level of population growth is about 1.4%, and that number continues to decline.

(2) it is no good to cut down on the harm caused by immigration.

A new study by Shah and Dixon found that Australia will have 4.1 million new job openings in the eight-year period from 2017 to 2024.

More than 2 million of these new projects are due to "alternative needs". The older workforce will retire and the young will replace retirees, but there are not enough young workers to fill the gap.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Assuming no international migration and no change in age-specific employment rates, the number of workers under 35 would have fallen by more than half a million between 2016 and 2026, mainly because of the low number of births in the 1990s.

This means that without immigration, Australia will face a serious labour supply crisis.

The mismatch between supply and demand of the labour force makes it an extremely bad decision to reduce immigration. The two hottest parts of the labour market are Sydney and Melbourne.

Signing investment contracts involving new jobs and building new transport infrastructure in these cities will only increase demand.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

Logic and economic theory suggest that workers go only to places where there are jobs, and jobs appear only where investors invest.

Job vacancies in Melbourne and Sydney still need to be filled if immigration is limited in one way or another.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

This could lead to the migration of migrants from other parts of Australia or New Zealand to both cities, leaving more areas under pressure to supply and demand.

As a result, restrictions on immigration have little effect on reducing population growth in these cities.

But it will deprive the workforce needed in other states and territories, allowing more intelligent and skilled people to move from places such as Adelaide and Perth to Melbourne and Sydney.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

It can be concluded that the 15000 permanent skilled immigrants planned for Sydney and Melbourne in 2019-2020 will not have an impact on traffic.

Instead, too few migrants make it harder to build the necessary infrastructure, making congestion worse.

Immigrants contribute a lot to Australia

In addition, immigrants have made a significant economic contribution to Australia in recent years. First, immigration has been a major source of labour growth in Australia in recent years.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

According to another report, tracking immigration and population growth over the past 50 years found that immigrants increased their productivity by 10% and increased employment participation by 0.1% of Australia`s GDP, per capita.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

And over the next 50 years, immigration will increase Australia`s net fiscal gain by 9.7 billion.

On the contrary, refugee held back a lot.

Take Australia`s top three major economic industries, for example, international education, because Australia`s high-quality education resources and learning environment have been attracted to foreign students, for Australia to create a value of 32 billion of the economy and industry, the share of the new state accounted for 11.3 billion Australian dollars!

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

In 2017, the University of Sydney accepted 18,999 more students from 130 countries than other schools, generating A $752.2 million in tuition.

Official research by the International Monetary Fund, the Productivity Council and the Treasury also found that immigration significantly increased per capita income and the budget for government.

It does put pressure on Sydney and Melbourne, but some of it can be mitigated by moving population and investment to satellite cities.

Authority research! Australia should not cut immigration within a decade

In Victoria, for example, the Geelong,Ballarat and Bendigo, around Melbourne have become one of Australia`s top 10 urban growth centers.

Although this is not clear in the new state, the governor has announced that more will be done to increase the link between Sydney and the surrounding satellite cities.

So, for at least the next decade, immigration cuts will not be a wise choice. Perhaps the real thing to do is to increase the technology and contribution of legal immigrants who can raise taxes in Australia, not the "social parasites" that do not contribute at all, but also eat and drink to create unrest with the hard-earned money of the working people.

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