Photo of Dr. Zhang Wenhong, Director, Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University
Author: Flynn
Dr zhang wenhong, director of the huashan hospital infection department, affiliated to fudan university, who was known this year for his involvement in the fight against the new crown, said on september 20th that with the second wave of outbreaks in european countries such as britain and france, many chinese people asked if there would be a second wave this winter, saying "the second wave is inevitable ".
"Today, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom also said that a second wave; France has a second wave for half a month; and Spain has a second wave for more than half a month ," Zhang Wenhong said. "
He also noted that China therefore still faces input risks. Zhang Wenhong suggested that many people can not control the epidemic on a global scale and there is a great imbalance between countries. In the final analysis, this has great relationship : virus transmission power with Coronavirus characteristics, but the mortality rate is not high ." Unlike Ebola, unlike SARS, or even H1N9 avian influenza. "
According to him, it was this very unique phenomenon that led to the continued spread of virus throughout the world.
Zhang Wenhong said, Coronavirus basically attacked the elderly, When the whole society's medical system is paralyzed, it will attack young people. The data it cites indicate that, Among death cases in the United States, Eighty-five per cent are over 55. Data as at 23 August, Among the 150,000 Americans who died in Coronavirus, There are 309 people under 24, This level is a bit lower than the flu. And next door to Mexico, death cases under 55 account for 70 per cent of the total, There is also a medical system overload, run and paralysis.
According to Zhang Wenhong, it doesn't matter if young people in the United States and other countries are outside (not isolated), nor can they be isolated, but the "not so deadly" new crown has formed the "fatal" of the global epidemic, but the "virulence is not too strong" virus has become the enemy of the whole human race. He continued that, on the other hand, China must complete 100% isolation under the guarantee of institutional mechanisms. He said ," the strategy is to be done in a month. "He also stressed to the audience ," If not, this little flame will burn up like an exponential curve. "
Zhang Wenhong revealed that China still faces the risk of input, and the two days of the country's delegation to various provinces to inspect the infection prevention and control system, can not let the import epidemic into a small fire outbreak. He suggested that, in principle, the epidemic would continue for quite a long time, because virus had spread throughout the world, and the biggest problem was that virulence was not so strong. He said ,"80% of people are asymptomatic, which is very scary. "Zhang Wenhong said that virus with such a strong transmission will always exist, and Western countries' practice is to wait for vaccine ,vaccine to protect vulnerable people, so that the mortality rate will drop to regular influenza levels.
To vaccine R & D time, Zhang Wenhong estimated that this time point can not reach within a year ," because the vaccine is done well, the completion of supply chain stores, it will take time...... Moreover, the vaccine developed in the United States requires a cold chain, requires very high activity, and the inactivated vaccine developed in China is good, but it takes time to do so, he said. Thus ," the idea of a year for the world should be the minimum ," he said. "
